Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.236901 11.693612 13.235371 14.983722 16.906222 18.950738 21.284274
2025-06-08 8.172079 10.190365 12.467676 15.207340 18.392743 21.958586 26.230187
2025-06-15 7.031861 9.488127 12.420674 16.131246 20.649588 25.920864 32.479857
2025-06-22 5.818672 8.486692 11.851262 16.315515 21.986624 28.851640 37.682399
2025-06-29 4.624874 7.306522 10.880008 15.847097 22.417048 30.649020 41.565392
2025-07-06 3.660300 6.267960 9.937776 15.272109 22.600526 32.078524 44.997708
2025-07-13 3.271067 5.983734 9.972802 15.978451 24.473213 35.725853 51.381235
2025-07-20 3.050861 5.915213 10.291086 17.078815 26.916692 40.208283 59.011565
2025-07-27 2.816457 5.782880 10.485763 17.991521 29.122046 44.438075 66.440094
2025-08-03 2.460997 5.389287 10.226178 18.188460 30.288849 47.265006 72.046518
2025-08-10 2.051820 4.830870 9.634361 17.811216 30.566371 48.829340 75.938697
2025-08-17 1.734177 4.384290 9.170048 17.578950 31.018338 50.624161 80.172349
2025-08-24 1.482011 4.028503 8.833132 17.541404 31.788992 52.947621 85.296934
2025-08-31 1.253317 3.676768 8.460844 17.408428 32.392901 55.039684 90.152320
2025-09-07 1.166225 3.619563 8.624500 18.197334 34.494443 59.428378 98.463670
2025-09-14 1.008823 3.367985 8.386617 18.258954 35.411047 62.049845 104.249414
2025-09-21 0.812251 2.973162 7.814170 17.666201 35.202865 62.925243 107.452005
2025-09-28 0.642732 2.599795 7.231065 16.993453 34.804418 63.466035 110.139507
2025-10-05 0.601843 2.575392 7.389197 17.731674 36.851815 67.912132 118.860061
2025-10-12 0.593400 2.645806 7.762406 18.905902 39.700281 73.705631 129.768700
2025-10-19 0.571085 2.668810 8.028979 19.881925 42.231134 79.048892 140.090059
2025-10-26 0.504410 2.533435 7.914897 20.088045 43.396208 82.210886 147.092948
2025-11-02 0.414253 2.290258 7.513389 19.676590 43.422487 83.505778 151.197492